Trump on the Defense: Harris Gains Momentum

Trump on the Defense: Harris Gains Momentum

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If the election were today, Vice President Kamala Harris would defeat former President Donald Trump by about five points, according to Doug Kaplan, president of the national polling and political consulting firm, Kaplan Strategies.

On the Lean to the Left podcast, Kaplan said Trump is on the defense as Harris gains momentum coming out of the September 10 debate.

"If the election were today, Harris would win," said Kaplan, on the Lean to the Left podcast, recorded following the September 10 presidential debate, "However, two months is a long time in politics."

When asked about the enduring impact of the debate performances, Doug Kaplan said that without more debates, this singular encounter may dominate the narrative and that Harris’s significant fundraising and the Republicans’ chaotic strategy underscore a potential advantage for the vice-president.

Kaplan cautioned that Harris needs to win nationally by four to five points and win the swing states by at least two points if she is to secure the election.

""Each day the election focuses on Trump is a win for Harris," said Kaplan. "Trump needs to make it about her, but he has struggled." Trump's on the defense, he added.

Kaplan pointed out Trump's vulnerability on the issue of reproductive rights, saying, "if reproductive rights inspire a high voter turnout among women, it could be a decisive factor."

Young voters could also help turn the tide for Harris, noted Kaplan, who pointed out that Barack Obama was able to capture strong support from those voters, and the question now is whether Harris can do the same.

Both immigration and the economy also will continue to be major factors, added Kaplan, as they continue to evolve.

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A former journalist and communications consultant, Bob Gatty is the founder and editor of the Lean to the Left blog and host of this podcast, which focuses on progressive politics and the important social issues of our time.

Prefer to listen instead of watching our Podcast? Please visit https://podcast.leantotheleft.net

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Our thanks to our guest, Doug Kaplan, president of Kaplan Strategies. We appreciate his insight and expertise.

For info about Kaplan and his work, please visit https://kaplanstrategies.com.

CHAPTERS:

00:00 Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump: Debate Recap

00:20 Polls and Public Perception

01:01 Defining Kamala Harris

01:08 Interview with Doug Kaplan

01:17 Debate Performances Analyzed

01:46 Impact on Polling and Election

02:02 Public Reactions and Personal Anecdotes

02:55 Historical Debate Comparisons

03:48 Campaign Strategies and Challenges

04:08 Swing States and Key Issues

05:51 Economic Concerns and Inflation

08:08 Immigration and Border Policies

09:12 Reproductive Rights Debate

10:19 Running Mate Choices

13:07 Youth Voters and Social Media Influence

14:08 Endorsements and Their Impact

14:58 Election Predictions and Polling Insights

16:04 Kaplan Strategies: Behind the Scenes

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